Texas vs. Washington odds, line, spread: 2024 College Football Playoff picks, prediction from proven model

The Washington Huskies can move one step closer to the program’s second national championship of the poll era when they face the Texas Longhorns in the 2024 Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Day at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. In 1991, the Huskies went 12-0, beat Michigan in the Rose Bowl and were voted No. 1 in the coaches’ poll. (Miami was voted No. 1 in the AP poll, splitting the national title.) This year, Washington (13-0) is having its best season since that 1991 team, having gone undefeated and winning the Pac-12. Meanwhile Texas (12-1) is two wins away from the program’s first national championship since the 2005 season. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:45 p.m. ET. The Longhorns are 4-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Washington odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 62.5. Before making any Washington vs. Texas picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. The model entered bowl season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Washington and has locked in its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Washington vs. Texas:

• Texas vs. Washington spread: Longhorns -4
• Texas vs. Washington over/under: 62.5 points
• Texas vs. Washington money line: Longhorns -179, Huskies +149
• TEX: Longhorns rank second in the FBS in third down conversion percent defense (0.265)
• WASH: Michael Penix Jr. leads the country in passing yards per game (324.5)
• Texas vs. Washington: See picks at SportsLine  
• Texas vs. Washington: live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns have played elite defense in the most important situations this season. The Texas defense ranks second in the country in third down conversion percentage (26.5) and third in red zone conversion percentage (71.4). Earlier this season, the Longhorns staged a goal line stand against Kansas State to eke out a win in overtime.

In addition, the Texas passing attack has a plus matchup against the Washington pass defense. The Huskies are giving up 263.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 120th in the country. That bodes well for a Longhorns offense that averages 286.8 passing yards a game, the 18th best in the nation. See which team to pick here.

Why Washington can cover

The Huskies have arguably the best receiving corps in the country. Led by Rome Odunze, Ja’Lynn Polk and Jalen McMillan, Washington receivers have 3,473 receiving yards this season, which ranks third in the nation, behind only Oklahoma (3,679) and USC (3,663). For his efforts this season, Odunze (81 receptions, 1,428 yards, 13 touchdowns) was a finalist for the Biletnikoff Award and a consensus first team All-America selection.

The Huskies’ receiving corps and quarterback Michael Penix Jr. have a plus matchup against the Texas secondary. The Longhorns allow 240.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 10th in the Big 12 and 93rd in the country. In addition, Texas will have to play the first half of the Sugar Bowl without safety Derek Williams Jr., who is suspended for the first half because of a targeting penalty in the Big 12 Championship Game. See which team to pick here.

How to make Texas vs. Washington picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, predicting 59 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can see the model’s CFB picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Washington vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.