2024 NFL MVP odds, race: Patrick Mahomes favored; Sam Darnold, Jared Goff surge

Week 4 of the NFL season has wrapped up, and like last week, a new name has emerged at the top of the MVP oddsboard.

Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes has once again taken pole position as the lone favorite to win the award at +300. 

While Mahomes’ odds stayed put, Josh Allen’s odds lengthened to +350 from +200, moving him to second from first.

With Week 5 on the horizon, there were a few other notable moves — including a pair of NFC North quarterbacks whose odds are absolutely surging up the board.

Let’s take a look at some of the top names on the MVP betting board at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Oct. 1.

2024-25 NFL MVP ODDS: 

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs: +300 (bet $10 to win $40 total)
Josh Allen, Bills: +350 (bet $10 to win $45 total)
Lamar Jackson, Ravens: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
C.J. Stroud, Texans: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Sam Darnold, Vikings: +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)
Brock Purdy, 49ers: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
Joe Burrow, Bengals: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Jayden Daniels, Commanders: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Jared Goff, Lions: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Jalen Hurts, Eagles: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Dak Prescott, Cowboys: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Baker Mayfield, Buccaneers: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Aaron Rodgers, Jets: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Kyler Murray, Cardinals: +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total)
Kirk Cousins, Falcons: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Justin Fields, Steelers: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Jordan Love, Packers: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)

Sam Darnold surging to +1300 from +3000 is perhaps one of the most noteworthy moves over the last week.

Darnold and Minnesota are an impressive 4-0, with their most recent win coming over Green Bay.

In that 31-29 victory, the Vikings quarterback passed for 275 yards and three touchdowns.

“Darnold has been incredible through the first month,” FOX Sports NFL insider Dave Helman noted. “He’s limited the mistakes. Though he has shown signs of being a bit of a reckless quarterback at times, he’s reined it in for the most part.”

Other shifts include Jared Goff moving to +2500 from +5000 after his historically perfect Monday Night Football game and then Jalen Hurts falling to +2500 from +1700 after the Eagles were handed a 33-16 loss by Tampa Bay.

Reigning MVP Lamar Jackson saw his odds shorten for the second week in a row. 

He moved to +700 from +1500 after Baltimore handed the Bills a 35-10 loss. 

As for best bets for the award, FOX Sports betting expert Jason McIntyre has you covered with his three best bets for NFL MVP:

Editor’s Note: Bets placed on 7/25/2024

Here are two things we know about NFL MVP: the last non-QB to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012, and, before that, it was LaDainian Tomlinson (2006). 

To tally that up, 16 of the last 18 winners have been quarterbacks. 

Last year, Lamar Jackson had 15-1 odds to win the MVP and ended up stealing it with a December surge past … Brock Purdy. 

Here are three guys I’m taking a flier on this year*: 

Jalen Hurts 

The addition of Saquon Barkley could have a massive impact on the offense, similar to how Christian McCaffrey transformed the 49ers. The schedule for Hurts is very favorable, and the Eagles could lead the league in offense. Hurts may be the best QB in the NFC by midseason, and these odds will shrink, so take them now.

PICK: Jalen Hurts to win 2024 NFL MVP (+1500) 

Jared Goff

The media seems to really like Goff, or perhaps it’s his awesome story of redemption — kicked to the curb by the Rams, and then gets to within 3 points of a Super Bowl with the “lowly Lions”. 

Goff may not be a top-3 player for the Lions, but if Detroit wins 12 to 13 games, he’ll certainly be in the discussion.

PICK: Jared Goff to win 2024 NFL MVP (+2000) 

Anthony Richardson 

He’s a long-shot bet, especially for a 22-year-old who played in four games and threw three TD passes. But, he’s got one of the best young play-callers in Shane Steichen, and the late-season schedule is perhaps the weakest in the NFL: at New England, bye, at Denver, vs. Tennessee, at Giants, vs. Jaguars. 

A 5-0 finishing kick could get them to 11 wins, which would vault him firmly in the mix for the MVP.

PICK: Anthony Richardson to win 2024 NFL MVP (+3000)

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